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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+4.33vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+6.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.00vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.71+2.37vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.96+0.83vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-0.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.54vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27+0.04vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47+0.57vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.15vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.57-2.36vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.84-2.40vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-4.98vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-0.49vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.47-4.61vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.66-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Georgetown University2.4012.8%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.305.9%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.4%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania1.717.6%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University1.967.6%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University1.988.6%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.0%1st Place
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9.04George Washington University1.275.0%1st Place
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10.57Hampton University1.473.6%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University1.574.5%1st Place
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10.6Princeton University0.844.0%1st Place
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11.84Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.9%1st Place
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15.51Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.7%1st Place
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12.39Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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15.56Syracuse University-0.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Asher Green | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| John Wynne | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 38.9% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.