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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+9.88vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.38vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+4.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.75vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-2.07vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.71-5.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-1.99vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-3.78vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.99vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.99vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.93-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.88Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.76Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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6.93Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.01SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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12.45Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.39College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| David Hernandez | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% |
| Gary Herring | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 19.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.