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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+8.68vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+4.90vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.27+5.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.11vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.30+3.26vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.96+0.92vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.56vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47+2.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.57-5.03vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.71-4.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.40-7.57vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.47-1.89vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.60-3.07vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-5.36vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.66-1.22vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Old Dominion University1.574.9%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University1.988.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.274.9%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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8.26Webb Institute1.306.1%1st Place
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6.92Cornell University1.968.2%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.8%1st Place
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10.62Hampton University1.473.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.6%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.4%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College0.723.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Pennsylvania1.717.0%1st Place
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5.43Georgetown University2.4012.6%1st Place
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12.11Drexel University0.471.8%1st Place
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11.93Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
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10.64Princeton University0.843.3%1st Place
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15.78Syracuse University-0.660.5%1st Place
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15.34Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 24.1% | 40.8% |
| John Wynne | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 21.7% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.