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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+6.47vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+6.42vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+3.94vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+2.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40+0.32vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47+4.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.71-0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.99vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.27-1.01vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.60+1.14vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.70vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.57-3.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.57-9.09vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-4.10vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.47-3.79vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.66-1.38vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.2%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.305.2%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University1.988.8%1st Place
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6.71Cornell University1.968.3%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University2.4012.4%1st Place
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10.62Hampton University1.473.2%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.8%1st Place
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7.4University of Pennsylvania1.718.3%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.4%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University1.275.2%1st Place
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12.14Christopher Newport University0.602.2%1st Place
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11.3SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University1.573.2%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.1%1st Place
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10.9Princeton University0.842.5%1st Place
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12.21Drexel University0.472.1%1st Place
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15.62Syracuse University-0.660.5%1st Place
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15.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Iain Shand | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 21.6% | 42.0% |
| John Wynne | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.