Race 13A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Schwarm 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 8.8% 12.3% 10.7% 11.8% 9.4% 9.3% 7.0% 3.5% 1.8%
Connor Aswad 14.5% 16.2% 13.7% 14.9% 11.7% 9.4% 8.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Daniel Perkins 22.3% 18.2% 18.1% 13.2% 10.5% 7.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
James Altreuter 7.6% 9.4% 12.1% 11.9% 11.6% 11.2% 9.8% 8.2% 8.0% 5.6% 3.6% 1.0%
Ryan Mullins 19.8% 18.9% 14.9% 13.8% 11.1% 8.2% 6.1% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Tevis Nichols 5.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.1% 8.6% 9.6% 11.8% 11.5% 12.0% 9.3% 7.7% 3.6%
Charles Field 6.1% 6.1% 7.9% 9.1% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 12.9% 9.5% 8.5% 8.2% 3.6%
Alden Winder 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 5.6% 8.4% 7.2% 10.3% 11.1% 13.9% 13.0% 11.2%
Emerson Krock 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 7.9% 9.1% 10.8% 17.0% 36.0%
Christopher Edwards 3.4% 3.7% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 7.1% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 15.2% 14.8% 14.5%
Tom Charpentier 2.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 10.3% 13.9% 17.8% 18.5%
Sam Millham 4.0% 4.7% 3.1% 5.0% 7.4% 8.4% 8.6% 10.0% 13.5% 12.5% 13.1% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.