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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+7.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.90+1.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.54+7.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.18+6.06vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.69+3.19vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.69+2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.79-2.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.79-3.59vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.21-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.97-2.44vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+0.58vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-3.34vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-4.64vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University2.22-8.59vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis1.68-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.91Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.47Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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13.06University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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9.43Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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14.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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11.66Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
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9.41Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 17.3% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 14.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.