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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+6.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.50vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+3.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+5.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+2.70vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47+2.55vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.40-3.78vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.53vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.30-2.69vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.96-5.43vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.72-1.96vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-2.52vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.47-3.10vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-0.82vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.27-4.34vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.66-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.0%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.5%1st Place
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6.6Fordham University1.9810.5%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.6%1st Place
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8.7George Washington University1.275.9%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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10.55Hampton University1.473.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.4014.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Pennsylvania1.585.5%1st Place
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8.31Webb Institute1.305.7%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University1.969.0%1st Place
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11.04SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
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11.48Christopher Newport University0.602.2%1st Place
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11.9Drexel University0.472.5%1st Place
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15.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.7%1st Place
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12.66Princeton University0.271.7%1st Place
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15.53Syracuse University-0.660.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Iain Shand | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| John Wynne | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 21.3% | 35.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 21.5% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.