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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79+4.01vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+6.93vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.26vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.79-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.54+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon1.97-1.01vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+2.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis1.68-1.98vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.96vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-3.49vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University2.22-6.96vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay1.69-6.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.27University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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10.93California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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4.25Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.96University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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8.93Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Irvine2.790.1%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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14.12California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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13.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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11.51Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.04Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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10.93California State University Monterey Bay1.690.0%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 19.8% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 17.3% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kincaid | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Kew | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Balter | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.