← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.57+8.52vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.40+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.30+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.96+2.70vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.19vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.98+0.73vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.66vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-1.19vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.77vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College0.72+1.12vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University0.47+0.98vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63+3.36vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University1.47-2.64vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.27-5.35vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University0.27-2.50vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.60-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Syracuse University-0.66-1.40vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.58-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.52Old Dominion University1.574.5%1st Place
-
5.26Georgetown University2.4014.6%1st Place
-
8.17Webb Institute1.305.9%1st Place
-
6.7Cornell University1.968.1%1st Place
-
7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.3%1st Place
-
6.73Fordham University1.988.2%1st Place
-
5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.4%1st Place
-
6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.0%1st Place
-
9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
-
11.12SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
-
11.98Drexel University0.472.3%1st Place
-
15.36Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.8%1st Place
-
10.36Hampton University1.473.1%1st Place
-
8.65George Washington University1.274.4%1st Place
-
12.5Princeton University0.272.8%1st Place
-
11.55Christopher Newport University0.602.2%1st Place
-
15.6Syracuse University-0.660.6%1st Place
-
8.42University of Pennsylvania1.586.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Iain Shand | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| John Wynne | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 36.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 21.4% | 39.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.