Race 1A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 25.8% 22.1% 16.7% 12.8% 9.8% 5.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Clark Morris 12.4% 13.2% 15.7% 12.8% 13.4% 10.7% 9.0% 6.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Julius Heitkoetter 17.5% 16.1% 13.5% 14.8% 11.5% 10.3% 8.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 11.3% 12.7% 10.9% 10.2% 9.6% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 11.8% 12.0% 12.2% 10.6% 8.1% 6.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Oliver Dietter 3.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 9.7% 10.5% 12.0% 14.0% 12.1% 8.3% 3.5%
Willem Weinberg 4.7% 5.3% 6.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 9.5% 11.9% 13.2% 12.2% 9.6% 4.2%
Keller Morrison 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 6.2% 8.5% 10.9% 13.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.4% 4.0%
Sylvia Burns 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 6.1% 6.9% 9.2% 11.0% 15.8% 19.3% 15.6%
Nathan Hyde 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 2.5% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 7.0% 11.3% 15.8% 22.7% 17.5%
Liam Gronda 5.3% 5.8% 6.3% 8.2% 9.0% 10.3% 10.8% 12.0% 12.0% 11.4% 6.4% 2.4%
James Bergstrom 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 8.6% 16.9% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.