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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+2.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.17+5.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.30+1.21vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.420.00vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.33-0.77vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.38-2.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97-4.65vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-1.20-0.60vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Roger Williams University2.0925.9%1st Place
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3.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4519.4%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University-0.172.5%1st Place
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4.41Tufts University1.5113.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston University1.0110.6%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island0.304.2%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University0.424.8%1st Place
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7.23Brown University0.333.9%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College0.385.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston University0.977.8%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University-1.200.9%1st Place
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8.96Maine Maritime Academy-0.332.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 25.9% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 19.4% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| Clark Morris | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Oliver Dietter | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| James Bergstrom | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 50.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.