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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.95-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17+0.08vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.41+4.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.92vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.76-3.46vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.20-5.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.50-4.88vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.89-4.90vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.16vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-3.76vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.34-3.98vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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12.75California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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11.89Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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7.27Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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12.75California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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13.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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14.24Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.02University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.87California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 33.1% | 23.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.2% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Ray Carley | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 28.1% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.