Race 3A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 26.7% 22.3% 16.4% 12.3% 9.8% 5.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Julius Heitkoetter 16.4% 16.3% 16.5% 13.8% 12.2% 9.3% 6.7% 4.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Clark Morris 13.1% 14.3% 12.8% 13.4% 11.2% 12.7% 9.2% 6.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 9.0% 10.6% 12.2% 12.8% 11.8% 12.0% 11.0% 8.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 10.8% 9.8% 11.1% 11.9% 12.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Oliver Dietter 5.1% 5.5% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 9.7% 11.2% 12.0% 13.6% 11.2% 8.9% 3.4%
Willem Weinberg 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.9% 8.8% 9.2% 9.4% 13.5% 12.7% 12.0% 8.8% 3.6%
Liam Gronda 5.0% 5.1% 7.3% 9.3% 9.0% 10.6% 10.2% 12.5% 11.3% 11.2% 6.2% 2.2%
Sylvia Burns 2.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 7.1% 8.2% 11.2% 15.6% 21.1% 16.1%
Nathan Hyde 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 10.9% 14.9% 24.1% 18.0%
Keller Morrison 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 7.0% 9.0% 11.8% 11.9% 13.1% 13.4% 9.3% 4.7%
James Bergstrom 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 6.0% 10.2% 16.4% 50.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.