Race 4A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julius Heitkoetter 16.6% 17.4% 14.9% 13.7% 12.4% 9.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 25.4% 22.6% 16.8% 12.8% 9.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 9.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.4% 11.5% 11.3% 12.0% 10.2% 6.0% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7%
Keller Morrison 4.3% 4.6% 4.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.3% 9.7% 11.1% 12.7% 13.8% 10.5% 4.7%
Sylvia Burns 3.0% 2.2% 4.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 9.8% 11.9% 15.2% 20.3% 13.2%
Clark Morris 13.2% 13.1% 14.6% 13.8% 12.0% 11.2% 8.6% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Oliver Dietter 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.7% 10.5% 12.2% 12.2% 11.3% 8.6% 3.9%
Willem Weinberg 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 9.7% 10.5% 10.9% 12.8% 13.0% 10.2% 3.8%
Liam Gronda 5.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.4% 9.8% 12.1% 11.8% 12.6% 9.2% 6.7% 2.7%
Nathan Hyde 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.2% 12.1% 14.9% 22.9% 18.2%
Nathan Selian 9.8% 10.7% 12.0% 12.4% 12.1% 10.7% 11.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4%
James Bergstrom 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 4.8% 5.8% 10.3% 15.4% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.