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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+3.20vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.95+0.82vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.17+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.50+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.57-2.15vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.77+2.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.89-0.64vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.41+0.15vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.76-5.66vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.41-1.85vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.42vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.06-2.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.34-3.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-8.32vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.96Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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11.69Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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13.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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14.13Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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14.89California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 32.4% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ray Carley | 2.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.