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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.95+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.89+2.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.50-1.62vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.77-0.01vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.76-4.69vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.41-2.39vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.41-3.39vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.19vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-3.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.34-3.99vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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6.24University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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6.98Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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11.31University of California at San Diego0.890.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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11.99Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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12.61California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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12.61California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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13.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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14.21Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.85California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 31.2% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 16.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ray Carley | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shane | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.