Race 5A

bu-invite-oct

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julius Heitkoetter 17.2% 17.0% 15.1% 13.7% 12.0% 9.8% 6.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.4% 10.9% 16.2% 19.1% 14.5%
Clark Morris 13.5% 13.8% 14.5% 14.5% 11.9% 10.5% 7.8% 5.8% 4.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 24.6% 20.5% 18.8% 13.2% 10.5% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Dietter 4.5% 5.0% 6.2% 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 13.2% 11.8% 11.6% 8.8% 3.5%
Nathan Selian 10.4% 11.1% 11.6% 10.9% 11.2% 12.3% 10.3% 9.0% 7.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.7% 11.9% 8.8% 8.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Keller Morrison 3.8% 5.6% 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 7.9% 10.0% 12.9% 13.7% 11.7% 10.9% 4.0%
Willem Weinberg 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.3% 10.5% 11.7% 12.5% 12.2% 10.5% 4.2%
Nathan Hyde 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 6.7% 7.5% 11.1% 14.1% 23.4% 17.3%
James Bergstrom 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 5.9% 9.5% 15.3% 52.7%
Liam Gronda 5.3% 6.1% 7.0% 8.1% 7.4% 9.9% 11.9% 12.2% 10.8% 11.3% 7.4% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.