Race 6A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elliott Mendenhall 10.1% 11.6% 11.2% 10.7% 10.1% 11.7% 11.3% 9.2% 7.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3%
Nathan Selian 9.8% 9.5% 11.0% 12.2% 13.1% 11.5% 10.4% 8.8% 6.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Nathan Hyde 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.9% 4.2% 7.2% 7.4% 12.0% 14.1% 22.1% 18.4%
Julius Heitkoetter 16.7% 16.6% 17.2% 14.8% 11.5% 8.9% 7.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 26.6% 22.0% 16.1% 13.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Gronda 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 9.3% 10.2% 13.1% 11.0% 10.3% 8.1% 2.9%
Oliver Dietter 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 12.0% 13.2% 11.5% 10.4% 2.5%
Clark Morris 11.6% 13.5% 14.2% 12.7% 12.2% 11.8% 9.7% 7.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Willem Weinberg 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.9% 13.4% 11.9% 9.0% 4.0%
Keller Morrison 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.8% 8.6% 10.0% 11.8% 13.1% 14.0% 10.9% 4.2%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 5.7% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 16.1% 19.2% 14.4%
James Bergstrom 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 6.4% 9.7% 15.3% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.