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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+4.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.10+2.48vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+1.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+1.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.67+0.62vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.53-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.74-1.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.68-4.51vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.38-0.85vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.10-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.84Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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11.15McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.65University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Drapcho | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jason Michas | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Law | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Jahncke | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Paige | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| James Rohman | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 27.5% | 16.3% | 2.3% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 6.2% | 24.3% | 61.5% |
| Whit Durant | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 8.2% | 43.6% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.