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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+3.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51+2.08vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20+1.96vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.77+4.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.76-0.75vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38+4.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.50-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.17-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.95-8.09vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.01-4.14vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.64-7.18vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.68vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-4.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.34-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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6.96Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.66Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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14.61California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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8.82California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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8.82California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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13.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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13.72Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 16.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 33.0% | 24.2% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.