Race 7A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathan Selian 10.0% 10.4% 12.0% 12.3% 11.8% 11.8% 11.2% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Oliver Stokke 26.7% 21.6% 16.6% 13.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Clark Morris 14.4% 14.6% 12.7% 14.0% 11.8% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.8% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.1% 8.8% 7.9% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Oliver Dietter 4.0% 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 9.1% 10.0% 10.7% 12.8% 12.2% 10.8% 8.8% 3.3%
Nathan Hyde 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 3.1% 3.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.8% 10.9% 14.8% 21.5% 19.8%
Keller Morrison 4.0% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.4% 9.8% 12.0% 12.8% 14.1% 10.8% 4.5%
Liam Gronda 5.6% 5.3% 7.5% 6.6% 8.9% 10.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.6% 10.7% 7.4% 2.6%
Sylvia Burns 1.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 8.3% 11.3% 16.6% 20.5% 14.3%
Julius Heitkoetter 17.4% 17.1% 15.2% 14.1% 11.2% 9.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Willem Weinberg 4.0% 4.5% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 8.3% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 13.6% 8.5% 4.7%
James Bergstrom 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 4.5% 6.6% 8.5% 18.3% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.