Race 8A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julius Heitkoetter 15.8% 17.1% 17.0% 15.0% 11.5% 9.0% 6.3% 4.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 12.7% 10.8% 10.1% 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Oliver Stokke 25.8% 20.4% 16.6% 13.4% 10.2% 7.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Dietter 5.0% 6.0% 6.8% 7.0% 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 12.1% 11.7% 12.2% 9.2% 4.0%
Nathan Hyde 2.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 6.4% 8.2% 11.0% 15.3% 20.2% 18.0%
Clark Morris 14.1% 14.7% 13.0% 12.7% 12.0% 9.6% 9.0% 6.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Keller Morrison 4.6% 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.6% 11.6% 11.4% 12.0% 13.1% 10.2% 5.1%
Nathan Selian 10.6% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 11.0% 12.7% 10.9% 9.5% 6.2% 4.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Liam Gronda 6.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 12.1% 11.3% 7.6% 2.5%
James Bergstrom 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 6.6% 8.7% 16.8% 50.5%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 7.7% 7.9% 12.4% 14.5% 20.4% 14.3%
Willem Weinberg 3.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 9.0% 10.0% 12.7% 13.0% 11.6% 9.4% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.