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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+5.01vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+6.45vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.76+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.95-3.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine2.17-4.74vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38+1.41vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-0.56vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.64-6.07vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.64-7.07vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.06-3.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.34-3.59vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.77-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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6.87Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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14.41California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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8.93California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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8.93California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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13.62Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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11.57Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 34.6% | 25.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.