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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+2.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+2.64vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.97+1.83vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.38+2.18vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.01-0.37vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+2.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.42-0.63vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.20-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.30-2.33vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.17-1.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Roger Williams University2.0923.2%1st Place
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4.64Brown University1.3414.2%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.4515.2%1st Place
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5.83Boston University0.977.9%1st Place
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7.18Connecticut College0.384.4%1st Place
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5.63Boston University1.019.3%1st Place
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9.47Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.7%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University0.424.5%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University-0.202.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island0.303.6%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University-0.172.4%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.5111.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 23.2% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Adam | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Liam Gronda | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 33.1% |
| Oliver Dietter | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| Willem Weinberg | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 24.0% |
| Clark Morris | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.