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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+4.04vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.16vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.77+6.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.17+1.31vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.76-0.43vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.64-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.64-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.81vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.95-9.99vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38-1.50vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-3.63vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-4.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.34-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Stanford University4.050.4%1st Place
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6.04University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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11.36Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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7.06Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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14.5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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13.75Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 35.5% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.