Race 10A

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Oliver Stokke 24.4% 19.6% 16.2% 12.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Julius Heitkoetter 16.8% 15.8% 14.2% 13.4% 10.2% 9.8% 8.1% 6.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Clark Morris 12.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.7% 11.1% 11.6% 9.9% 8.0% 5.5% 2.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.2% 9.0% 10.2% 9.3% 11.7% 11.2% 9.8% 10.4% 8.5% 6.9% 3.2% 1.5%
Grant Adam 10.9% 11.1% 12.9% 13.6% 12.2% 10.5% 10.2% 8.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Liam Gronda 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.8% 13.1% 11.5% 10.2% 5.5%
Nathan Selian 8.1% 10.2% 10.0% 10.5% 11.7% 11.2% 10.8% 9.0% 8.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.2%
Oliver Dietter 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 9.8% 10.9% 12.2% 12.4% 11.4% 7.5%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.3% 9.4% 13.1% 19.9% 23.6%
Willem Weinberg 3.8% 4.9% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 12.2% 13.0% 13.3% 12.1% 8.4%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 2.6% 3.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 6.4% 8.1% 10.7% 14.8% 17.5% 19.9%
Nathan Hyde 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 9.2% 14.8% 18.6% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.