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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.76+4.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.95-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+0.07vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.38+7.34vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.77+3.29vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.64-0.09vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.20-4.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.50-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.01-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine2.17-7.76vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-2.62vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay1.64-8.09vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-4.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.34-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Stanford University4.050.4%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Washington1.760.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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14.34California Poly Maritime Academy-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.29Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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8.91California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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6.97Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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13.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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8.91California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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13.77Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 35.1% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.5% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CC Childers | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.