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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+4.22vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.38+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.88+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame2.27+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04-2.80vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.57-0.27vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University0.74-1.68vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University0.74-2.68vs Predicted
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14Lake Forest College-0.44-1.65vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.02-3.37vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.21-5.10vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-0.27-5.04vs Predicted
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18Marquette University0.47-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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6.22University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
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4.61Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Wisconsin3.040.2%1st Place
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7.79Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
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9.32Michigan State University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.32Michigan State University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.35Lake Forest College-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.63Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
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11.96Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
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10.0Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 20.4% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 23.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kang | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rocco | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rocco | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Chester Wood | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Bouman | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.