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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+2.28vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+2.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+2.46vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.42+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.10-0.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.84+3.65vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60-0.72vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56-2.29vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+0.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.37-3.09vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.25-4.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Roger Williams University1.8425.5%1st Place
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4.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5514.6%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University0.808.6%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University-0.422.4%1st Place
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4.65University of Rhode Island1.1014.2%1st Place
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9.65Harvard University-0.841.1%1st Place
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6.28Connecticut College0.606.5%1st Place
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5.71Boston University0.568.0%1st Place
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9.18Maine Maritime Academy-0.652.3%1st Place
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6.91Brown University0.375.9%1st Place
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6.86Boston University0.255.9%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University0.125.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 25.5% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Meadows | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 17.9% |
| Sam Ingalls | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christina Chen | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 35.5% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 27.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Rooks | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.