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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+2.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.80+3.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.56+2.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.10-0.25vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+3.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60-0.82vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-0.88vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.25-2.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.37-3.29vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.84-1.45vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.42-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Roger Williams University1.8423.7%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University0.809.4%1st Place
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5.81Boston University0.567.8%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5515.8%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island1.1012.2%1st Place
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9.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.651.7%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College0.607.2%1st Place
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7.12Northeastern University0.125.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston University0.255.8%1st Place
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6.71Brown University0.376.7%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University-0.841.6%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University-0.423.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 23.7% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 26.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Christina Chen | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 33.4% |
| Tyler Meadows | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.