Race 4B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Blake Vogel 9.7% 11.3% 8.5% 11.3% 11.9% 10.4% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
Richard Kalich 5.9% 6.0% 6.7% 8.3% 7.2% 8.6% 9.5% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 10.0% 5.2%
Tyler Meadows 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 6.6% 8.6% 10.8% 14.9% 18.9% 18.6%
Matthew Elliott 14.7% 14.9% 14.3% 11.6% 13.2% 10.0% 8.6% 6.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 23.9% 21.0% 17.3% 12.6% 8.8% 6.3% 4.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam Ingalls 12.2% 11.3% 12.7% 13.4% 12.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.0% 4.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Samuel Rooks 5.0% 6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.3% 9.9% 12.2% 12.9% 9.3% 5.1%
Griffin Stolp 2.6% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 9.9% 12.0% 19.9% 27.7%
Gavin Monaghan 8.6% 8.6% 9.9% 10.0% 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 8.5% 6.7% 3.9% 1.1%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.1% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 11.5% 10.5% 8.8% 3.6%
Fritz Baldauf 7.2% 6.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.2% 9.8% 8.0% 6.3% 1.9%
Christina Chen 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 6.2% 8.2% 12.2% 17.9% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.