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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.10+2.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+2.58vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.65+5.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.25+1.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84-2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56-1.16vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60-1.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.37-2.07vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12-2.96vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.42-2.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.84-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5515.8%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island1.1013.8%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University0.809.2%1st Place
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9.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.652.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University0.255.9%1st Place
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3.36Roger Williams University1.8422.7%1st Place
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5.84Boston University0.568.2%1st Place
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6.25Connecticut College0.606.3%1st Place
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6.93Brown University0.375.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University0.125.6%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University-0.423.5%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University-0.841.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Ingalls | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Griffin Stolp | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 25.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 22.7% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Meadows | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| Christina Chen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.