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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+1.12vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.38+0.62vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.77+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.88-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame2.27-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.57-0.26vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University0.74-1.64vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.02-0.60vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.47-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.21-3.08vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-0.27-4.04vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.74-7.64vs Predicted
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18Lake Forest College-0.44-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.62Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.81Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Minnesota1.770.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Notre Dame2.270.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
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9.36Michigan State University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.4Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.28Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
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11.96Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.36Michigan State University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.32Lake Forest College-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 21.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 26.1% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Sinn | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Barch | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kang | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rocco | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Bouman | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rocco | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Chester Wood | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.