Race 6B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Blake Vogel 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 10.9% 9.7% 10.0% 11.2% 10.1% 8.5% 5.6% 3.2% 0.9%
Drew Mastovsky 23.2% 19.1% 16.7% 13.7% 11.5% 6.6% 4.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 15.7% 14.2% 13.5% 12.9% 12.0% 9.6% 8.2% 7.0% 3.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 6.6% 9.5% 9.2% 11.2% 12.2% 13.1% 9.6% 4.4%
Gavin Monaghan 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 11.1% 10.6% 9.8% 8.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8%
Samuel Rooks 4.6% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 10.9% 10.8% 11.1% 10.8% 4.7%
Fritz Baldauf 6.6% 8.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 10.2% 11.5% 9.7% 10.0% 8.2% 5.9% 2.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 11.1% 10.9% 10.5% 9.7% 4.2%
Sam Ingalls 13.7% 12.5% 13.5% 11.4% 12.6% 10.0% 9.0% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Christina Chen 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 5.3% 5.2% 8.6% 11.2% 17.9% 35.9%
Tyler Meadows 2.7% 3.4% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 6.2% 8.0% 11.1% 14.6% 17.2% 17.2%
Griffin Stolp 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.3% 9.7% 12.4% 18.9% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.