Race 7B

bu-invite-oct

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gavin Monaghan 8.6% 9.2% 8.4% 10.0% 11.2% 10.1% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 6.9% 4.5% 1.7%
Sam Ingalls 12.4% 12.1% 13.5% 11.8% 12.0% 9.9% 9.0% 7.5% 5.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Drew Mastovsky 22.8% 20.5% 16.3% 12.8% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 16.4% 14.8% 13.2% 13.7% 11.3% 9.7% 6.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Blake Vogel 10.1% 9.0% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 10.8% 11.3% 8.5% 8.7% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Fritz Baldauf 6.3% 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.5% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.2% 9.0% 5.7% 2.5%
Christina Chen 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 12.2% 18.4% 34.4%
Samuel Rooks 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 11.7% 11.0% 11.1% 11.1% 5.2%
Tyler Meadows 3.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 13.6% 18.1% 19.5%
Richard Kalich 4.4% 5.8% 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 8.7% 9.0% 10.7% 11.0% 12.2% 10.2% 5.1%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.0% 9.4% 12.2% 10.1% 8.0% 4.9%
Griffin Stolp 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 6.6% 6.0% 9.6% 12.8% 18.8% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.