Race 8B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Mastovsky 24.3% 21.2% 16.2% 13.7% 9.0% 6.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 7.3% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.8% 11.3% 10.5% 10.9% 8.5% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6%
Blake Vogel 8.6% 10.3% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 10.1% 9.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4%
Matthew Elliott 15.7% 14.8% 14.9% 13.6% 12.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sam Ingalls 13.1% 12.0% 11.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.0% 8.8% 8.0% 5.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 4.9% 5.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.4% 10.2% 13.4% 10.7% 10.4% 4.8%
Samuel Rooks 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 7.8% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 11.4% 11.6% 11.8% 10.5% 5.3%
Fritz Baldauf 8.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.3% 10.0% 9.5% 10.6% 10.5% 10.7% 8.7% 5.0% 2.2%
Christina Chen 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 5.3% 4.7% 6.2% 8.7% 13.3% 17.3% 34.4%
Tyler Meadows 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.1% 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 8.9% 8.8% 14.1% 18.4% 18.2%
Griffin Stolp 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 6.6% 9.2% 12.8% 19.8% 27.6%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 6.9% 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 11.1% 9.8% 9.3% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.