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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+3.65vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.29+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.53+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02-3.33vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-0.82vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University1.25-1.83vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.57+1.74vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University1.36-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.02-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago0.33-3.15vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-0.60-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.67-2.92vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-1.42-2.64vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.37-11.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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6.18Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.17Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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10.74Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.18Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Michigan-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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10.99Northern Michigan University-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Michigan-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.36Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 18.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Tobias | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sitter | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 30.6% | 26.3% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner DePriest | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Melita Aquino | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Douglas White III | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Shope | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Small | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Power | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.