Race 10B

bu-invite-oct

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Elliott 15.6% 15.8% 14.2% 13.9% 11.8% 9.2% 8.1% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Drew Mastovsky 25.1% 19.8% 17.0% 13.2% 8.9% 7.0% 4.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.3% 1.5%
Sam Ingalls 12.7% 13.8% 13.9% 11.1% 12.0% 10.7% 9.2% 7.2% 3.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Richard Kalich 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.3% 8.2% 10.5% 10.6% 10.3% 10.9% 10.7% 8.4% 4.0%
Fritz Baldauf 8.0% 7.1% 9.3% 9.2% 10.7% 9.0% 10.5% 10.3% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 2.3%
Harry Kaya Prager 6.2% 8.5% 6.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.7% 12.3% 9.4% 7.6% 3.3%
Charles Case 5.7% 7.1% 8.2% 7.4% 9.0% 9.3% 11.8% 9.8% 11.4% 9.6% 6.7% 4.0%
Christina Chen 2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 4.2% 7.1% 7.1% 11.7% 18.2% 34.0%
Griffin Stolp 2.6% 2.8% 2.5% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.2% 7.3% 8.2% 12.0% 19.1% 27.9%
Samuel Rooks 4.3% 5.5% 7.0% 8.8% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 11.1% 12.2% 11.4% 8.5% 5.0%
Tyler Meadows 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 9.2% 10.8% 13.1% 18.7% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.