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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.29+5.23vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+2.55vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.73vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University1.25+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan3.02-2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.37+0.12vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University1.36-2.11vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.53-3.30vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-0.57+0.87vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University1.36-5.11vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago0.33-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.02-3.32vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.60-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.67-5.01vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-1.42-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23University of Wisconsin1.290.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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3.73Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.42Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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6.12University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
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5.89Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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10.87Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.89Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Michigan-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.97Northern Michigan University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Michigan-0.670.0%1st Place
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12.35Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Tobias | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 18.6% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 32.2% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Power | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sitter | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melita Aquino | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Tanner DePriest | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas White III | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Shope | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Small | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.