Race 1A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 24.9% 22.4% 17.0% 14.7% 9.6% 6.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 15.9% 14.2% 15.2% 14.6% 12.4% 11.9% 8.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 13.9% 13.2% 16.7% 15.7% 14.2% 10.7% 8.2% 4.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Briana Hummel 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.4% 12.2% 13.6% 15.4% 13.7% 9.2% 4.3% 1.1%
KA Hamner 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 8.2% 10.0% 11.8% 17.2% 16.4% 12.2% 4.2%
Grace Squires 15.6% 15.5% 16.2% 13.6% 13.5% 10.9% 7.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.4% 4.9% 4.9% 6.7% 6.5% 10.2% 14.5% 17.5% 15.7% 10.4% 4.2%
Katie Nelson 10.7% 11.8% 11.4% 14.5% 14.0% 14.5% 11.1% 7.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Sarah Weese 1.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.5% 6.6% 10.5% 17.5% 25.8% 23.9%
Kathleen Perry 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 5.1% 7.0% 11.5% 21.4% 45.1%
Natalie Ryder 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 8.2% 11.1% 19.2% 23.4% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.