Race 2A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 25.2% 20.2% 18.4% 12.3% 11.8% 7.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 14.6% 15.2% 16.2% 14.0% 14.0% 11.8% 7.8% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Grace Squires 16.0% 14.6% 13.6% 15.0% 12.7% 12.8% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 11.9% 12.8% 12.3% 13.6% 13.7% 13.7% 10.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 9.8% 13.2% 16.6% 16.0% 10.6% 4.4%
Olivia Sowa 14.1% 16.1% 13.8% 15.3% 12.6% 11.6% 8.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Briana Hummel 6.6% 6.9% 9.3% 9.2% 11.0% 13.5% 15.8% 13.3% 8.6% 4.9% 1.1%
Natalie Ryder 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 7.6% 12.3% 19.4% 24.3% 21.9%
Lily Schwartz 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 13.9% 17.8% 16.8% 11.8% 3.2%
Kathleen Perry 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 5.3% 7.0% 12.5% 21.1% 44.0%
Sarah Weese 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.9% 10.7% 16.6% 24.3% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.