Race 4A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Olivia Sowa 15.4% 14.6% 15.4% 14.9% 12.9% 12.0% 7.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Emma Shakespeare 15.4% 14.8% 14.9% 14.7% 13.5% 11.7% 8.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Grace Squires 14.4% 16.1% 16.2% 13.7% 13.7% 11.2% 7.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Emily Allen 24.9% 21.4% 16.8% 13.6% 11.1% 5.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 4.6% 4.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.5% 9.9% 13.1% 17.8% 15.5% 11.1% 4.9%
Natalie Ryder 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 11.2% 17.6% 25.7% 21.6%
Briana Hummel 5.3% 7.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.9% 14.1% 14.1% 13.4% 10.0% 4.6% 1.4%
Kathleen Perry 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 7.0% 12.6% 21.1% 45.0%
Katie Nelson 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 13.4% 13.3% 13.5% 11.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 7.1% 10.1% 14.1% 16.7% 16.6% 10.7% 4.0%
Sarah Weese 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 7.6% 11.3% 18.6% 23.7% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.