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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.95+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.37+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-0.44vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37-0.22vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+1.52vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.53-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.29-2.76vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University1.36-3.81vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago0.33-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.02-2.28vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-1.42-0.49vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.60-4.06vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.67-5.01vs Predicted
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17Lake Forest College-0.57-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.78Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.52Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.19Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Wisconsin1.530.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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6.19Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Chicago0.330.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Michigan-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.51Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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10.94Northern Michigan University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Michigan-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.75Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Grosch | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Power | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 35.4% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 16.3% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sitter | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Tobias | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melita Aquino | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Tanner DePriest | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Small | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 49.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas White III | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Shope | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Woldt | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.