Race 5A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 23.2% 21.3% 16.9% 14.2% 11.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 15.7% 16.0% 16.1% 15.9% 12.3% 9.8% 7.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Squires 15.4% 17.1% 13.7% 14.4% 13.2% 11.5% 8.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 16.2% 15.5% 14.2% 12.1% 14.1% 11.3% 8.6% 4.6% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 11.9% 11.2% 13.3% 13.5% 12.9% 12.2% 11.8% 7.6% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Briana Hummel 6.2% 6.2% 8.8% 10.3% 12.4% 14.2% 15.5% 13.6% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 8.0% 10.3% 14.1% 17.8% 15.0% 11.4% 3.6%
Lily Schwartz 3.4% 4.0% 6.3% 6.5% 6.9% 10.3% 13.4% 17.6% 17.0% 10.8% 4.0%
Natalie Ryder 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 11.3% 18.0% 25.0% 22.6%
Kathleen Perry 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 4.3% 6.9% 13.6% 20.8% 44.5%
Sarah Weese 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 6.2% 10.8% 16.7% 26.0% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.