Race 6A

saisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 23.9% 21.8% 17.8% 14.6% 10.2% 6.2% 2.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 11.1% 12.1% 12.8% 14.0% 13.3% 13.4% 11.8% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Grace Squires 14.3% 16.1% 14.9% 13.8% 14.1% 11.2% 8.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 15.6% 15.6% 16.1% 13.6% 13.5% 11.9% 8.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 15.3% 14.0% 14.8% 14.5% 12.6% 11.9% 8.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.8% 8.1% 11.3% 13.2% 17.0% 17.3% 11.1% 3.4%
KA Hamner 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 13.1% 16.8% 16.0% 11.2% 4.7%
Natalie Ryder 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 6.7% 10.5% 18.6% 24.2% 21.2%
Briana Hummel 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 10.8% 12.5% 15.6% 14.0% 9.2% 4.7% 0.9%
Kathleen Perry 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.6% 8.1% 12.3% 21.9% 44.2%
Sarah Weese 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 3.5% 3.8% 6.5% 11.8% 16.8% 23.9% 25.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.