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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+9.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.52+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.06+2.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.75+7.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.91+6.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+4.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28-1.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.80+3.70vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.20-0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43+2.00vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.25-2.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.76-5.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.55-1.25vs Predicted
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15Brown University-0.27+1.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-4.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.41-3.61vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.34-9.08vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island0.93-8.06vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Roger Williams University1.845.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University1.527.0%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University2.0611.6%1st Place
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11.62Brown University0.753.8%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University0.914.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.074.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.2815.1%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University0.803.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island1.335.6%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island1.205.8%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.432.6%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.255.5%1st Place
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7.56Brown University1.767.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Rhode Island0.552.5%1st Place
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16.18Brown University-0.270.9%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.782.9%1st Place
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13.39Brown University0.412.2%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.345.7%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.933.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.402.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Bo Angus | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Pearse Dowd | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Parker Moore | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Noah Stapleton | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Sigel | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| James Brock | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 35.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Walter McFarland | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Peter Judge | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.