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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.68+3.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.10+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.74+1.42vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.53+0.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.67-0.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74-1.69vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-2.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.77vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.38-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University3.100.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.18Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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10.68University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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11.15McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sturges | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jason Michas | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Paige | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Jahncke | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Law | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| James Rohman | 12.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 27.7% | 16.0% | 1.9% |
| Steven Drapcho | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Whit Durant | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 41.4% | 37.3% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 27.0% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.