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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+7.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.86+9.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.06vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.68vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+4.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+2.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+1.76vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+1.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.52vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.24vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.34vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-2.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-4.84vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.60vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.33-6.61vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-5.78vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.68Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.83Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.28Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.16University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College3.330.0%1st Place
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11.22Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Mary Hall | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 18.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.