Race 7A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 24.5% 21.4% 18.6% 13.8% 9.8% 6.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Squires 16.4% 15.1% 14.5% 16.0% 13.8% 9.7% 8.1% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Emma Shakespeare 15.6% 16.4% 14.1% 14.8% 13.5% 10.2% 8.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.4% 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 7.4% 10.4% 12.0% 17.1% 16.9% 10.0% 4.2%
Katie Nelson 11.7% 10.5% 12.7% 11.7% 14.1% 14.4% 11.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Lily Schwartz 4.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 7.2% 10.5% 14.3% 17.4% 15.3% 11.9% 3.5%
Olivia Sowa 13.2% 13.0% 15.4% 13.9% 14.6% 12.1% 9.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Briana Hummel 7.0% 7.8% 7.6% 11.2% 11.9% 13.6% 14.9% 10.7% 10.1% 3.5% 1.6%
Sarah Weese 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 5.2% 7.3% 11.8% 16.7% 24.4% 24.6%
Kathleen Perry 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 6.5% 11.8% 22.1% 45.4%
Natalie Ryder 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 2.2% 5.0% 7.6% 12.4% 18.6% 25.0% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.