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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+6.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+6.20vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+4.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.94vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.70vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+1.64vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-2.13vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.69vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-2.26vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-4.47vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.48vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-5.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.92-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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8.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.64Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 20.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Corey Hall | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 17.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.