← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.45+3.08vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.26+2.10vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.09+0.98vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College-0.17+2.88vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.77-0.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami0.41-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University-1.38-3.90vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-0.98+0.52vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College-0.06-2.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-1.18-1.30vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08College of Charleston1.4514.6%1st Place
-
4.1North Carolina State University1.2615.0%1st Place
-
3.98University of South Florida1.0915.1%1st Place
-
6.88Eckerd College-0.174.1%1st Place
-
4.59Florida State University0.7710.7%1st Place
-
5.71University of Miami0.416.8%1st Place
-
3.1Jacksonville University-1.3825.9%1st Place
-
8.52University of Florida-0.981.9%1st Place
-
6.95Rollins College-0.063.5%1st Place
-
8.7University of Georgia-1.181.2%1st Place
-
9.39Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.1% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Briana Hummel | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 25.9% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Ryder | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 20.6% |
| KA Hamner | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 25.9% | 23.6% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.