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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+8.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+5.27vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+7.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.88vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.50vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+1.95vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.91+2.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.70vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.22-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-4.40vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-3.21vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.27vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-7.77vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.38Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.88Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.19Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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11.73SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 17.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.