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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.15vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+4.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.59vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+2.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+2.82vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91+0.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.33-4.13vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-3.20vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-5.74vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.21vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.29-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.79Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.2% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 17.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.