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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+7.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+7.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+2.47vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+2.35vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33+0.62vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.56vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.89vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.48-5.72vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-3.46vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.47Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.63Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.54SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 19.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.