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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.95vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.93vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+4.82vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.47vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+1.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.70vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-1.36vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-2.52vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-1.39vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.06vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.26vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College3.330.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.88Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.72SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.94University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.74Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 20.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Corey Hall | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Mary Hall | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 17.9% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 16.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.