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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+7.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.38vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+5.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+3.48vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+3.36vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+1.80vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91+0.30vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.03vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.77vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.38vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.50-7.84vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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4.38Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.79Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.69SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.89Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Corey Hall | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 18.4% |
| Mary Hall | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.