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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+7.96vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+5.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+5.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+3.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.93vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.93vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.62vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.61vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.67vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.51-8.43vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.41vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.29vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.07Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.47Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.480.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.61SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.71Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.