← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.74+5.98vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+7.35vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.92+3.46vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.29+5.13vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.22+4.03vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.91+4.69vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.35+1.75vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.45+0.18vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.86+1.90vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.25vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.48-2.65vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.87-1.34vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University4.51-8.41vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.33-5.05vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.58-3.20vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.77vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College2.63-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.98Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
6.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.13University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.03College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
-
10.69Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.75Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.35Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.66Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
4.59Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
8.95Connecticut College3.330.0%1st Place
-
11.8Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.23U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.68SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Corey Hall | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 18.5% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.