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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+7.52vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.11vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+6.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+4.89vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33+1.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48+0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.61vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-6.33vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.35vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-4.55vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.24vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.58-3.25vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.22-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.92-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.33Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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10.65Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.75Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Mary Hall | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.3% |
| Corey Hall | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.