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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+6.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.44vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+5.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+3.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+2.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.57vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-0.50vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.56vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-0.37vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.29vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.04vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.29vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.71Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.1% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 16.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.