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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.59+2.96vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+3.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.48+3.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+1.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.35-0.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.37+1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.06+1.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71-1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.21-1.05vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.10+2.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.29vs Predicted
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12Brown University-0.46-1.74vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+1.36vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.63+1.55vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.91-3.29vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-6.58vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.30-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Tufts University1.5919.3%1st Place
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5.41Boston University0.9711.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University0.487.3%1st Place
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5.0Boston University1.1413.1%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University1.3516.9%1st Place
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7.66Brown University0.374.9%1st Place
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8.59Boston University0.063.2%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.716.5%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University0.215.1%1st Place
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12.44Bentley University-1.101.4%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.092.8%1st Place
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10.26Brown University-0.462.4%1st Place
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14.36Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.010.4%1st Place
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15.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.630.3%1st Place
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11.71Wesleyan University-0.911.5%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.1%1st Place
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12.88Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.300.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 19.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Thibodeau | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vose | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| John Van Zanten | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ali Zaidi | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jason Dank | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 27.0% | 25.2% |
| Emily King | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 19.1% | 54.5% |
| Rory McClenahan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Daly | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.