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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+4.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+2.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.59+0.92vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.71+2.80vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48+1.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University-0.46+4.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.35-2.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.21+0.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.06-2.42vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.37-4.32vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.30-0.19vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.10-1.71vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-0.67vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.91-4.30vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.63-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Boston University0.9711.6%1st Place
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4.97Boston University1.1412.6%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University1.5920.2%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University0.716.3%1st Place
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6.73Boston University0.487.1%1st Place
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10.23Brown University-0.462.5%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University1.3515.8%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University0.214.8%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.5%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.092.4%1st Place
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8.58Boston University0.063.8%1st Place
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7.68Brown University0.375.7%1st Place
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12.81Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.300.8%1st Place
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12.29Bentley University-1.101.3%1st Place
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14.33Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.010.4%1st Place
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11.7Wesleyan University-0.911.3%1st Place
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15.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 20.2% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Zaidi | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vose | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| John Van Zanten | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Thibodeau | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Daly | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
| Jason Dank | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 27.4% | 24.3% |
| Rory McClenahan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Emily King | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.