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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+8.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+3.52vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+3.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+1.21vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.93+1.68vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.58vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-2.13vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.31vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-4.55vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.42vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.91-4.50vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.74-8.74vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.22-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.16University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.5Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 18.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.9% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Corey Hall | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.