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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.16+5.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.83+1.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+1.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+1.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.45+2.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.07+0.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.25+0.67vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+4.68vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+2.71vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.73+0.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.51-4.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+2.09vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.28-0.19vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.03-5.55vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.64-4.39vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.53-2.56vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Tufts University1.168.2%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University1.8324.8%1st Place
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4.86Boston University1.0113.4%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University0.9611.5%1st Place
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7.11Brown University0.456.6%1st Place
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6.11Boston University1.077.6%1st Place
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7.67Boston University0.255.3%1st Place
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12.68Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.331.4%1st Place
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11.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.6%1st Place
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10.82Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.732.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University0.516.9%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.5%1st Place
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12.81Bentley University-1.281.4%1st Place
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8.45Brown University0.033.9%1st Place
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10.61Boston University-0.642.4%1st Place
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13.44Wesleyan University-1.530.7%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.671.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 24.8% | 20.9% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Kannon Behrens | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Annecy Kagan | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 31.9% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Katie Estep | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.