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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+6.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.22+5.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.27vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.99vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87+3.68vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33+0.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-2.61vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-2.36vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-3.32vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-7.82vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.34vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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11.99Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.66SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 20.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 19.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 17.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.