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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.83+2.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.75+3.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+3.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.51+2.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.45+2.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.25+1.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01-2.10vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.28+4.87vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+3.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+4.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.03-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67-2.35vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-8.02vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.53-1.66vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.73-5.19vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.64-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Tufts University1.8326.2%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University0.758.3%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University1.168.6%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University0.517.6%1st Place
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7.05Brown University0.455.9%1st Place
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7.64Boston University0.255.9%1st Place
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4.9Boston University1.0113.2%1st Place
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12.87Bentley University-1.281.2%1st Place
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12.95Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.331.1%1st Place
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14.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.7%1st Place
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8.33Brown University0.034.5%1st Place
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11.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.971.4%1st Place
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10.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.672.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University1.077.8%1st Place
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13.34Wesleyan University-1.531.0%1st Place
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10.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.732.4%1st Place
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10.5Boston University-0.642.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 26.2% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Terry | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Brighton | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.7% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 30.3% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Porter Bell | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Estep | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 21.4% |
| Kannon Behrens | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.