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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+4.92vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.79vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+0.81vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.07vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.24-3.88vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-5.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-4.81vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-4.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-7.65vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.54Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.59Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.92Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.3Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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13.19SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Liana Folger | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.8% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.