← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.24+6.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.74vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+3.11vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.83+1.72vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.29+2.55vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.82+2.81vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.83vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.71+0.81vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.98-0.80vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.20-3.07vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.73-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.85-3.52vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.51vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.97-5.84vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.94vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida2.90-7.61vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.71University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
5.72Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
7.55Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.81Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.81Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.2Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.93College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.19Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.48Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
9.16Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
13.06SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Billing | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 32.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.