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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+3.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+8.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+3.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+3.04vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19+0.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+2.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.71+3.07vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13+1.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-0.22vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48+0.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.98vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.09-7.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-6.99vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.81-4.69vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.71-9.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Yale University2.4219.6%1st Place
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6.97Brown University2.048.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Rhode Island0.993.3%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.107.2%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University2.1910.5%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University1.223.8%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.4%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.7%1st Place
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13.07Tufts University0.711.9%1st Place
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12.43Fordham University1.131.5%1st Place
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11.78George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Vermont0.481.1%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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7.27Boston College2.096.8%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania0.812.2%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College1.715.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 19.6% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 23.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| bella casaretto | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.