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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+5.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+4.69vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+1.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+3.02vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73+2.99vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+1.08vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+1.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.20vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-2.03vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-3.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.47vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.76vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.51vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.09vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.4Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.99Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.08University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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10.29Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.24SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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9.49Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Emily Billing | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Paige Conlin | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 34.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Liana Folger | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.