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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+6.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+6.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.88vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.81+6.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.04-0.02vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71+0.30vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.13+3.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99+1.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-3.12vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48+1.38vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-3.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.70vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-7.25vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.94vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.93-5.14vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.71-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Boston College2.097.3%1st Place
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4.37Yale University2.4218.4%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.2%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.3%1st Place
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6.16Stanford University2.1910.2%1st Place
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12.28University of Pennsylvania0.811.8%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.048.8%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College1.715.3%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
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7.75College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.973.5%1st Place
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11.86George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
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12.96Tufts University0.711.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Caroline Sibilly | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Carmen Cowles | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Emily Bornarth | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Sophie Fisher | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Margaux Cowles | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
bella casaretto | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 24.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
Ava Farley | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
Emma Tallman | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heather Kerns | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.